3 scenarios for oil in 2016: RBC commodity chief

09:51, 28 December 2015
Economy
238

RBC Capital Markets' Global Head of Commodity Strategy Helima Croft outlined three potential scenarios for WTI crude on CNBC's "Fast Money" for the new year.

REUTERS

The most bullish situation would be seeing more than a million barrels of oil pulled off the market and prices averaging in the $60 dollar range, according to the report.

The worst case scenario involves a tsunami of new production from OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Iran and Libya hitting the market – all but certain to drive prices even lower.

On Thursday, the final day of trading before the Christmas holiday, Brent and U.S. crude closed up by more than a percent, but still well under $40 per barrel.

"If you are thinking about sort of about a mid-$30s average for WTI, low-$40s, I think that's a bearish scenario," said Croft, according to the report.

"Our base case is this sort of middle range... $52 is our WTI call for next year," she said, implying that U.S. crude would be nearly one-third higher than its current trading levels.

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